The curious mind embraces science; the gifted and sensitive, the arts; the practical, business; the leftover becomes an economist

In this world, you should always be suspicious of the knowledge you derive from data.

It is true that a thousand days cannot prove you right, but one day can prove you to be wrong.

True, our knowledge does grow, but it is threatened by greater increases in confidence, which make our increase in knowledge at the same time an increase in confusion, ignorance, and conceit.

Convincing - and confident - disciplines, say, physics, tend to use little statistical backup, while political science and economics, which have never produced anything of note, are full of elaborate statistics and statistical “evidence” (and you know that once you remove the smoke, the evidence is not evidence).