Although science is not easy in complex human systems, we cannot afford to throw our hands in the air and give up. It may take decades, but it is a game worth playing and winning.

We have minds that are equipped for certainty, linearity and short-term decisions, that must instead make long-term decisions in a non-linear, probabilistic world.

Business is the most important institution on the planet for furthering human flourishing.

The essence of extended rationality is to know when you are being irrational.

The most damaging cognitive bias is overconfidence (illusory superiority), making leaders use their “gut” when they should be more rational.

Many of the cataclysmic leadership failures were failures of rationality. The pendulum of leadership development needs to swing back toward the rational: strategy, creativity, foresight, decision-making, and analytics.

21st century leaders will be growers, not knowers.

Yesterday’s decision-making strategies are ill-equipped to deal with petabyte information flows.

When business leaders talk about the next quarter, they ought to sometimes be talking about the next quarter century.