112 Quotes by Al Goldman
- Author Al Goldman
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The long-term trend for the economy and the market remains bullish.
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My feeling is the economy is going to slow, either on its own or by the Fed. If you think interest rates are going to be raised steadily, that's not good for anybody, but a modest increase does not hurt technology.
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Pfizer's a great company, great track record. The economy is slowing, so I think money is going to see defensive growth stocks like the pharmaceuticals and I really don't care what Al Gore thinks about supposedly big drug companies. We're going to have gridlock in Washington and there's not going to be any radical legislation no matter who is in the White House.
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The main impetus behind the selling was the employment figures. Even though we created 193,000 new jobs, which was less than consensus, the unemployment rate falling to 4.7% points out that the labor market is very tight and this has conjured up concern the Fed may not stop at 4.75% on Fed funds but maybe it will go up to 5%.
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The main impetus behind the selling was the employment figures.
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On one side, we've got pretty good economic fundamentals. On the either side, we have all the problems that are keeping everybody depressed -- Iraq, Iran, the price of oil.
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If we find him dead, I think the Dow goes up 100 points and it's a short-term top. If we catch him alive, the market goes up maybe 50 points and then goes down.
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IBM ( IBM : Research , Estimates ) is a very well-managed company, it looks to us like the shares have made a bottom, that the short-term trend is improving, that momentum is improving. And the company has had some disappointing comments to make. But that's already in the price of the stock. And the stock is down some 40-ish percent from its high, and very well managed.
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There is a high degree of low confidence in the marketplace and nobody is looking beyond the end of their noses. They're responding minute by minute to things.
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