392 Quotes by Anthony Chan
- Author Anthony Chan
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I have to come away with the view that the drop in crude prices offered the opportunity for a relief rally, although it didn't offer that much relief.
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When one looks at the MBA data that reveal that applications for the purchases of new homes are down 7.5 percent on a year-over-year basis, it is not hard to see that the gain reported this month is not a sustainable trend.
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On the price deflator the numbers are a little bit stronger, so I am not as excited about that price number for GDP.
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I really don't see a ratcheting up of concerns for the Fed. I still think they are concerned enough that they'll do two more rate hikes, but I didn't see anything in this report that would suggest that they need to do more.
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This is a sign that the housing market is not exempt from the laws of gravity,
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We will eventually see the negative impact of rising rates -- we can't dodge that bullet -- but doesn't usually happen at the beginning of the cycle. I'm not sure we will continue to see the market beating expectations by these margins, but I don't see the market collapsing in the next month or so.
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One of the pillars of strength of the housing market is the fact of the tax-advantaged nature of the asset. To the extent that you chip away at that, you would see housing somewhat negatively impacted.
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Investors have become completely convinced that we need to see the housing canary buckle under a little bit. If the housing market softens, then investors will view that as the canary in the cave that indicates that central bankers will not have to be as aggressive.
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This is a shock -- and the shock is going to be there.
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