24 Quotes by Cary Leahey
- Author Cary Leahey
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On the prices paid index, you're down 50 points from the highs in October, which the bond market clearly likes.
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- Author Cary Leahey
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That, combined with no job growth, makes it harder and harder for the Fed to pull the trigger in an election year.
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We're not talking about large sums of money. It is ironically only worth a couple of dollars to the Social Security check of the average American. They may be able to knock back a cold beer in a cheap bar.
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- Author Cary Leahey
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Yet another survey of the economy is suggesting sustainable strength. Rates backed up a little because of this report, but you're treading water a bit because of payrolls data lurking on Friday.
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The PPI number had some pipeline pressure underneath the surface, but the market liked the fact that the core rate was up only 0.1 percent,
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You got a favorable surprise on the CPI. We had the first decline in the core rate in 21 years, ... It just reminds the Fed, which said last week that the risks of inflation and deflation were almost equally balanced, that you still have some very residual deflation risk. And it ... supports the notion that the Fed might not have to raise interest rates at all next year.
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- Author Cary Leahey
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Even though the PPI has accelerated, it hasn't passed over to consumer goods prices, and it hasn't passed through into wage gains,
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These are the kinds of things that raise eyebrows at the Fed. The implication that this January report has for wage inflation is bothersome to the market and the Fed.
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A Fed move in late summer is a high probability bet right now.
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