450 Quotes by Daniel Kahneman

The illusion that one has understood the past feeds the further illusion that one can predict and control the future.

A story is about significant events and memorable moments, not about time passing.

If you’re going to be unreligious, it’s likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.

Question: So investors shouldn’t delude themselves about beating the market? Answer: “They’re just not going to do it. It’s just not going to happen.”

Most things that couples disagree upon aren’t worth more than a day’s combat...

Searching for wisdom in historic events requires an act of faith – a belief in the existence of recurrent patterns waiting to be discovered.

There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it’s been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.

Indeed, there is evidence that people are more likely to be influenced by empty persuasive messages, such as commercials, when they are tired and depleted.

We’re not aware of changing our minds even when we do change our minds. And most people, after they change their minds, reconstruct their past opinion – they believe they always thought that.