59 Quotes by Daniel Pecaut
- Author Daniel Pecaut
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Diversification is a protection against ignorance, a confession that you do not know the businesses you own.
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Munger claimed that it is because professors are so enamored by modern portfolio theory. For the man with a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.
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Buffett noted that he likes to put a lot of money in things he feels strongly about. Diversification makes no sense for someone who knows what they are doing.
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Buffett concluded that you can learn a lot about the durability of the economics of a business by observing price behavior.
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With imports exceeding exports, the world is doing the savings for us. China, with a much higher savings rate, will grow faster than us, and it probably needs to do so.
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If investors only had to study the past, the richest people would be librarians.
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As Munger put it, “Basically, we’re a hedgehog that knows one big thing. If you generate float at 3% per annum and buy businesses that earn 13% per annum with the proceeds of that float, we have figured out that’s a pretty good position to be in.
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In a fascinating digression, Buffett noted that “the fact that you are being obsoleted does not mean you should go into the successor business.” As an example, he explained that if you were a person of vision in the passenger train business in 1930, you might have seen the coming of the airplane. But the answer was not to get into the airline business, which is a terrible business. The answer was to get out of the passenger business altogether.
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The moat represents a barrier to competition and could be low production costs, a trademark, or an advantage of scale or technology.
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