16 Quotes by Enrique Alvarez
- Author Enrique Alvarez
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Emerging markets are very dependent on the direction of the Treasury. The market has had very good success in not invading above the (10-year Treasury) 4.80 percent yield level which is a very difficult area for the U.S. Treasury market.
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You don't see major these kinds of fluctuations unless there's major maintenance going on, which is usually announced in the press.
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The necessities are anything that could eliminate going to Tucson.
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In general it's a healthy profit taking move for the EM market, and for the domestic markets in Latin America as the stock and currency markets are coming off.
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In Argentina in particular you have seen a pickup in volatility over the last couple of months, and it has to do with the fact that it has higher yields available and longer duration and makes it prone to volatility.
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The market place is at the mercy of the Fed, its rhetoric and of U.S. Treasuries, which are highly data dependent. Anything that signals weakness either in inflation or in housing will be positive for Latin America because it is going to weaken Treasury yields.
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The Latin American market is going to pay a lot of attention to moves in U.S. Treasury rates, while the US equity market remains a major momentum generator.
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