270 Quotes by Ian Shepherdson
- Author Ian Shepherdson
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Clearly good numbers, reinforcing the Fed view that much of the spring rise in inflation was 'transitory' - but good CPI numbers alone will not stop rates rising slowly.
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- Author Ian Shepherdson
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We think confidence will rebound next month, but in the meantime the odds surely now favor a Fed ease next week,
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The survey has a good track record and the signal it is sending cannot be welcome at the Fed.
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Claims have now been essentially static for three months, so even if the latest declines turn out to be unsustainable, the data will still show that the trend is no longer rising rapidly, and may not be rising at all, ... It looks like the worst of the worst is now over in the labor market.
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The surge in activity is a lagged response to the strength of new home sales, and with mortgage demand now well off its highs -- though still strong -- it probably can't last, ... But there is no reason to expect an immediate plunge, not least because permits rose again in February, for the fourth straight month.
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He used the word 'pre-emptive,' which was the signal he used before the March 1997 rate hike.
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Claims fell because the initial wave of job losses after Sept. 11th is fading.
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Preparing the markets for a rate hike is a process in which the Fed gradually has to back away from its unduly pessimistic stance of recent months. This will take some time, but the process is now underway.
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Katrina and Rita effects still linger, though they are fading, ... Claims will likely rise next week as the full effects of Wilma hit, but the downward trend is very clear.
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