270 Quotes by Ian Shepherdson

It is impossible to tell how much of the drop simply reflects the inability of the seasonal adjustment to cope with the end of the auto retooling shutdowns, and how much is due to the underlying trend,

By early next year we expect starts to have begun to decline, though activity can probably remain close to current levels for another couple of months,

If February is broadly similar, a March 28 rate hike is assured. The May meeting's risk is rising.

After 9/11, the index made up all the ground lost, and more, by January '02. This seems as good a guide as any now, though in the meantime we expect a couple of very rough months for consumers' spending.

It is beginning to look as though there has been a real improvement in the labor market at the start of this year.

After 9/11, the index made up all the ground lost, and more, by January '02, ... This seems as good a guide as any now, though in the meantime we expect a couple of very rough months for consumers' spending.

If claims remain at their current level, we could expect the unemployment rate to be down to 4 percent or so by mid-summer.

Our guess now is that there will be some incremental decay of consumers' expectations, especially in the New York area, but it will not be sufficient to upset our basic recovery story,

After four straight months of worse-than-expected core CPI numbers, (this report provides) some relief.