270 Quotes by Ian Shepherdson
- Author Ian Shepherdson
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It's looking more likely ... that we're going to get a sharp contraction.
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The rebound in expectations since October is still big enough to signal strong first-quarter consumption, but not a sustained boom.
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It it too soon to be sure, but we think there is a good chance that the industrial sector has now fully adjusted to the summer's steep decline in confidence.
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Eventually, we do expect housing to lead the economy into a sustained slowdown, but it will take time, and patience is not the markets' most obvious virtue.
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There is a clear change in the tone of the Beige Book, but not all the news is good.
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We think the trend in layoff is downwards, ... but we're not yet ready to argue that all the danger has passed.
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Eventually, the housing slowdown will affect retail sales too, but that is probably a story for the spring of next year, at the earliest.
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We think the relief is temporary; no other data supports the slowdown story,
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Still, this is a hugely encouraging report, pointing clearly to a vigorous recovery.
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