20 Quotes by Jeffrey Saut
- Author Jeffrey Saut
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Dedicated short sellers tend to be among the smarter investors on the Street,
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Consumers are clearly being impacted by the three hurricanes, ... That, combined with natural gas and gasoline prices, is having an effect. I think $3 a gallon gasoline is the tipping point to a consumer that is under siege. But this number is really no great surprise.
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The big concern is future inflation and the Fed is viewing that through the labor market. Wage growth continues to be muted.
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The consensus is technology is cheap, and I think that's probably true.
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I'm not bearish. I don't think we're going into a recession and I'm not worried about deflation ... But earnings growth should only be about 7 to 8 percent this year and guidance for earnings keeps coming down.
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If you think you can recklessly buy stocks you have to be assuming more than a V-shaped recovery in earnings -- you have to be assuming a hockey-stick shaped recovery.
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I don't pay much attention to what the Fed says because I don't know what they mean when they say it. It's like Nostradamus. These folks talk in quatrains. It's kind of comical as everyone tries to dissect this stuff,
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I don't know how to handicap terrorism, other than to say that I think the risk premium should be higher than it is. But I think I can predict, directionally, earnings and the momentum of the economy.
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The employment number that came out last Friday is consistent with a muddling economy. It's a fait accompli that the Fed will go up just a quarter point,
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