11 Quotes by Jeoff Hall
- Author Jeoff Hall
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We're looking at undaunted consumers, with personal expenditures running at a heady clip.
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I wouldn't say that's spectacular, but I would say it's on trend, especially considering the shocks like energy-price increases.
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I think there's gong to be hurricane effect for next couple of readings. It's not just Katrina and Rita. Hurricane Wilma was causing evacuations, business closings in October.
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Manufacturing is not a majority of the labor market any more, but I would expect services will continue to show the trend growth.
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What we take away as significant is a slightly bigger drag on first-quarter GDP as a result of the revision to March and starting off the second quarter with lackluster trade, which would exert a higher drag on GDP.
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Anecdotes, including purchasing manager surveys and regional and national Fed indices, do little to support the consensus view of a 210,000 gain. Moreover, the market has a tendency to overestimate November payrolls.
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You're tempting something unsavory in that the Fed could push this economy into the ground.
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The bond market has been hit hard the last few days on these concerns.
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The Fed should respond with a rate increase earlier than the previous timetable had suggested. Now we're looking at perhaps a 1-3/4 percent funds rate by the end of this year.
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