24 Quotes by John Kyriakopoulos
- Author John Kyriakopoulos
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The price action of the last few days does suggest a potential exhaustion in the dollar's rally,
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U.S. economic reports serve to remind investors that U.S. economic growth remains solid, and as long as this continues, writing the U.S. dollar off could prove a costly strategy.
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- Author John Kyriakopoulos
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As such, currency moves are being exaggerated as small lumpy flows meet low liquidity.
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A report that Nippon Life may shift away from U.S. dollar bonds has also supported yen buying.
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The Reserve Bank may shift to a very mild tightening bias which won't be enough to support the Australian dollar while the Fed is pushing up rates.
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There is typically a bounce in such purchases and if this proves subdued this year, many investors will conclude that a stronger Japanese economy and rising bond yields has moderated Japanese investor appetite for foreign assets. This scenario would see the yen a lot firmer.
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It plays to the risks of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting rates earlier than its current track suggests.
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It's more of the same, with the perception that carry trades are being unwound, and that Japanese bond yields rose further today probably added to that trend.
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The news on the Australian economy has been far from upbeat. A benign consumer price index report will make the likelihood of another RBA rate hike disappear completely and this will potentially weigh on the Australian dollar.
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