782 Quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

  • Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Quote

    A good rule of thumb is as follows: If the numbers come from somebody wearing a tie (Wall Street economist or analyst, industry public relations department, captive think tank academic and so on), you ought to be very skeptical. By design messages from these people are intended to move markets, move merchandise and/or move public policy and are not a comment on the state of the physical universe.

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  • Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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    When we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.

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  • Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Quote

    It might be useful to be able to predict war. But tension does not necessarily lead to war, but often to peace and to denouement.

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  • Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Quote

    The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference

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