260 Quotes by Nate Silver

Where our enemies will strike us is predictable: it’s where we least expect them to.

Successful gamblers – and successful forecasters of any kind – do not think of the future in terms of no-lose bets, unimpeachable theories, and infinitely precise measurements. These are the illusions of the sucker, the sirens of his overconfidence.

A forecaster who says he doesn’t care about the science is like the cook who says he doesn’t care about food.

The best model of a cat is a cat.”91 Everything else is leaving out some sort of detail.

Wherever there is human judgment there is the potential for bias.

Human beings have an extraordinary capacity to ignore risks that threaten their livelihood, as though this will make them go away.

We should neither worship at the altar of technology nor be frightened by it.

I'm a pro-horserace guy.