260 Quotes by Nate Silver

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen