24 Quotes by Peter Kretzmer
- Author Peter Kretzmer
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There hasn't been a lot of correlation between commodity prices and inflation since 1990.
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- Author Peter Kretzmer
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With interest rates rising and demand for new home ownership slowing, it is likely that stronger demand for rental properties will push rental rates up at a higher pace.
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The thinking that has surprised us has been that the markets and the Fed have been more concerned about the impact on inflation expectations than they've been about real growth.
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Spending ended the quarter on a strong note, and that largely reflects the return of growth in auto sales. It's confirmation that spending was getting back on track.
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As vehicle sales decline toward longer run levels beginning in August, consumer spending will slow.
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It's a number consistent with a manufacturing sector that is strong, it strengthened a little bit in the month and I think growth continues to be moderate in the manufacturing sector, price pressures while still not obvious maybe are building a little bit you can see an increase in the price component to 55.1 that's indicative of some price pressure.
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It's only vaguely predictive of what will happen with month-to-month consumer spending. It did increase dramatically in March, so some drop-back is not unexpected.
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The numbers are a little better than we expected. Still, these things bounce around, and I think we'll probably see the unemployment figure break 4.5 percent next month.
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- Author Peter Kretzmer
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The numbers are a little better than we expected,
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