Unfortunately, we are continuing the bad news by predicting above-average activity for September and October.

We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.

These numbers aren't extreme, but they continue the trend in which hurricane activity appears to be on a multi-decadal upswing.

In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,

All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,