123 Quotes About Probability

I always adore to be on the verge of endless probabilities.

Probability is a light darted on the object, from the proofs, which for this reason are pertinently enough styled evidence. Plausibility is a native lustre issuing directly from the object. The former is the aim of the historian, the latter of the poet.

To talk of probability is to suggest that events might happen differently from the way they do, whereas events themselves will unfold according to an inevitable path.

Critical thinking is an active and ongoing process. It requires that we all think like Bayesians, updating our knowledge as new information comes in.

There is no such thing as political science, but there are tenancies so strong that they might as well be called laws of nature.

The mind is not designed to grasp the laws of probability, even though the laws rule the universe.

Anything at all is possible. Some things are unlikely. Some things will never happen. But they always could, at any time.

A good decision cannot guarantee a good outcome. All real decisions are made under uncertainty. A decision is therefore a bet, and evaluating it as good or not must depend on the stakes and the odds, not on the outcome.

I don't simply create probabilities, I guide them.