[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$ff-w7UB7xKzHBfZJMtsg6TPmfjeI6-elyHFhGKWv42-Q":3,"$fFHVIbkU-yiJ0j2r-H3rKdDrvWzJTf6jOdpeR8y7JRK4":12},{"author":4,"tags":11},{"author_id":5,"author_name":6,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"bio":9,"short_bio":9,"slug":10,"image_url":9},93748,"Douglas W. Hubbard","D",15,null,"douglas-w-hubbard",[],{"quotes":13,"pagination":77},[14,23,29,35,41,47,53,59,65,71],{"id":15,"quote_text":16,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":19,"source":20,"quote_tag":21,"commentary":22},2990156,"Success is a function of persistence and doggedness and the willingness to work hard for twenty-two minutes to make sense of something that most people would give up on after thirty seconds.",6,false,{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],"**The Backstory**\nDouglas W. Hubbard, a renowned expert in decision science and risk management, likely penned this quote in one of his books or lectures. The sentiment echoes the era of intense self-reliance and perseverance that defined Hubbard's professional journey as he navigated the complex world of uncertainty.\n\n**The Hidden Insight**\nWhat many readers miss is that Hubbard isn't merely emphasizing hard work; he's highlighting a crucial aspect of productivity and focus. The \"twenty-two minutes\" and \"thirty seconds\" aren't about the duration, but rather about setting an effective time frame for focusing on a problem versus giving up too quickly.\n\n**How to Use This**\nTo apply this mindset today, allocate short, focused intervals (like 22 minutes) to tackle complex problems or learn new skills, eliminating distractions during that time and only taking breaks when necessary. This approach can significantly enhance productivity and mental resilience by teaching the brain to persist in challenging tasks without getting overwhelmed.",{"id":24,"quote_text":25,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":26,"source":27,"quote_tag":28,"commentary":9},2990148,"The fact is that the preference for ignorance over even marginal reductions in ignorance is never the moral high ground.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":30,"quote_text":31,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":32,"source":33,"quote_tag":34,"commentary":9},2990141,"If you know almost nothing, almost anything will tell you something.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":36,"quote_text":37,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":38,"source":39,"quote_tag":40,"commentary":9},2990133,"Perhaps the biggest misconception some managers may run into is the belief that correlation proves causation. The fact that one variable is correlated to another does not necessarily mean that one variable causes the other. If church donations and liquor sales are correlated, it is not because of some collusion between clergy and the liquor industry. It is because both are affected by how well the economy is doing.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":42,"quote_text":43,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":44,"source":45,"quote_tag":46,"commentary":9},2990127,"Although this may seem a paradox, all exact science is based on the idea of approximation. If a man tells you he knows a thing exactly, then you can be safe in inferring that you are speaking to an inexact man. – Bertrand Russell.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":48,"quote_text":49,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":50,"source":51,"quote_tag":52,"commentary":9},2990116,"Two good indicators of revealed preferences are things the people tend to value a lot: time and money. If you look at how they spend their time and how they spend their money, you can infer quite a lot about their real preferences.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":54,"quote_text":55,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":56,"source":57,"quote_tag":58,"commentary":9},2990114,"Instead of being overwhelmed by the apparent uncertainty in such a problem, start to ask what things about it you do know.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":60,"quote_text":61,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":62,"source":63,"quote_tag":64,"commentary":9},2990100,"It is better to be approximately right than to be precisely wrong. – Warren Buffett.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":66,"quote_text":67,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":68,"source":69,"quote_tag":70,"commentary":9},2990093,"Rule of Five There is a 93.75% chance that the median of a population is between the smallest and largest values in any random sample of five from that population.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"id":72,"quote_text":73,"author_id":5,"source_id":17,"has_image":18,"author":74,"source":75,"quote_tag":76,"commentary":9},2990076,"Measurement: A quantitatively expressed reduction of uncertainty based on one or more observations.",{"id":5,"author_name":6,"slug":10,"author_name_first_letter":7,"article_count":8,"image_url":9},{},[],{"currentPage":78,"totalPages":79,"totalItems":8,"itemsPerPage":80},1,2,10]