Somehow people look at the performance of the average mutual fund manager and say, 'It's underperforming the superstar of the market, which is the S&P index in the past few years, therefore I can do as well,' ... That's a fallacy. You may be able to do very well, but the fact that the average fund manager is doing worse than average does not mean he's stupid, and his stupidity doesn't make you smart.
-Jason Zweig
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