As the statistician George E. P. Box wrote, "All models are wrong, but some models are useful." What he meant by that is that all models are simplifications of the universe, as they must necessarily be. As another mathematician said, "The best model of a cat is a cat."...The key is in remembering that a model is a tool to help us understand the complexities of the universe, and never a substitute for the universe itself.
-Nate Silver
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