30 Quotes by Carolyn Kwan
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- Author Carolyn Kwan
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With the stronger trade surplus, I would have expected the Canadian dollar to do a little bit better, except of course at the same time the U.S. trade deficit came in smaller than expected. As a result it's been positive for the U.S. dollar.
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We're still expecting one more rate increase and I think this probably should not have too much of an impact overall.
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Basically whatever high level of investment there last year, there will be even more this year. But we have some good gains in other areas too.
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I think the next interest rate increase is pretty much anticipated. We (forecast) another interest rate increase coming right after that as well, we think this is pretty supportive of that.
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It is likely that the level of starts in both months was helped by milder than normal weather (the previous month, for example, was the strongest level of starts since January 1987), though they still represent strong underlying demand.
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I suppose the Ivey may be having some small effects, but we don't think it should be. Fundamentally we don't think there's been any real shift in the Canadian economy.
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We'll be watching the commodity prices again for the next little while in terms of direction for the Canadian dollar. We've gone through now C$1.14 and we're in a new range again.
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Today's number might represent some upside risk to that.
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The overall tone of the report is pretty mediocre at this point.
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