12 Quotes by Douglas Cliggott
- Author Douglas Cliggott
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What we're seeing in Asia now is that rates of growth are slowing down. It's Latin America where you see growth picking up.
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I think the key in the market is technology, because what has been giving us this extraordinary earnings growth is spectacular earnings growth from a lot of tech companies. They are telling us the second half is going to be slower. So I think the broader market earnings trend is going to be not sharply down, but trending down.
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I think what happened today is a lot of investors are disappointed about the outcome of the OPEC meeting.
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Market participants have shifted focus from the immediate event of the Fed meeting to a longer-term view.
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The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in - if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.
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We think this is an opportune time for investors to reduce exposure to U.S. equities.
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Technology is such a huge part of market cap right now; if that part of the market is performing poorly, it's really tough for the other indices to go up.
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Realistically, if it eliminates a degree of risk about the future, that's good news.
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It's hard to disagree with Greenspan. Our own market view is equities are fairly valued, but they had a tremendous period of catch-up last year and the year before when they were very undervalued We would expect only 7, 8, 9 percent price appreciation next year.
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