24 Quotes by Jim Paulsen
- Author Jim Paulsen
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What little earnings reports we have had have been a little bit more disappointing than outperforming, for the most part, so that's weighing.
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- Author Jim Paulsen
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The fact that oil broke close to US$60 today caused a drop in S&P 500 energy stocks.
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When I look around the globe outside the United States I see nothing but a huge bull market going on wherever you look. We're sitting here in the United States and looking at flattish markets and thinking things are not so good.
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On net this is not going to be a big event economically. People initially went to the big impact it was going to have, all predicated on the idea that oil was going to go a lot higher (than it has).
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One of the central characteristics of this entire global recovery is the outsized impact of these new economies. That's one of the reasons why growth has remained strong in the U.S. and profit trends have been remained positive, so if there is any inkling that we are at the front end of slowing that down, that's going to make a dramatic difference.
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It gives you the sense that maybe this earnings cycle is going to be like the rest, where it starts out like it's going to be terrible and it ends up looking good, ... That's been the pattern for eight quarters.
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I think that (the terror alert rumor) was most of this ... it's already rallying back.
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That certainly is going to fan a little inflation fear here, and going forward it will at least keep people on the watch a little longer on the idea that the Fed is going to keep tightening.
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It all hinges on whether the Fed tightening slows the economy and causes a recession.
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