102 Quotes by Stephen Stanley
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- Author Stephen Stanley
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The market seems to be betting that the storm won't have a long-term impact, but that really depends on how much the storm disrupts the oil infrastructure, something we may not know for weeks.
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We're in a pretty quiet time of the year, ... We've been pretty directionless today. Oil hasn't been doing much.
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The levels in July were too high for the reality of what is truly going on in manufacturing. The move back in August is to a more realistic level.
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We know from low inventory levels that they're going to have to rebuild inventories as economy strengthens,
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The main story was oil. Volumes and prices both rose in June, so petroleum imports jumped sharply.
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One-year inflation expectations spiked from 3.1 percent to 4.6 percent, by far the highest reading since 1990,
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But certainly the market should be focused on the core number, since that's what the Fed looks at. We're looking for an 0.2 percent increase, which wouldn't cause a big reaction in the market.
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Barring an abrupt weakening in the economy, the Fed will continue to hike rates at a measured pace for the foreseeable future.
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If inflation doesn't accelerate much from here, and the Fed just raises rates a little more, we might see something like the end of the 1990s again. But if the Fed has to really ramp up to fight inflation, it's going to be a much worse environment than investors realize.
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